QOTD: Who else?
Well, you walk into the room
Like a camel and then you frown
You put your eyes in your pocket
And your nose on the ground
There ought to be a law
Against you comin' around
You should be made
To wear earphones
THB has been mulling.
That is natural given that there was a long period where there was no baseball
to watch or listen to (that’s often referred to as “winter”), and there was a
long stretch of no travel (that’s often referred to as “what, are you feeling
ok?”).
The mind begins to
wander. And, what better to review than the last 40 years. After all, who could
have planned a bookend of Nixon’s resignation and the Pope retiring? The only president to call it quits and the
first head of the RC church in 600 years to fade off into the sunset.
So, what’s been going
on? Let’s just try and keep it simple: 1973 and 2013…
In 1973, THB was full
of idealism: Nixon was on the ropes, the Viet Nam war might actually be coming
to an end, saving the environment was a hot topic, and the boomer generation
(if it was called that then) was starting to see power coming its way soon.
Women were entering the workforce in big numbers, civil rights laws were
enacted and being enforced, technology was becoming a bigger part of the
economy. THB was pretty damn optimistic (or so it seems, looking back).
It’s 2013, and THB is
now too old to be idealistic, and optimism is something better left to those
who don’t want to look back. THB has decided to break this essay up into its
constituent parts, and let those followers with time on their hands read and
decide what to think about THB’s mental state now (it must be better, baseball
is coming back!).
Nuclear Disarmament: remember getting under your desk with your butt to the
windows? The good news: nothing has happened (i.e., no major explosions) in 40+
years and the imminent death of civilization from nuclear holocaust has faded,
along with open air testing (at least in US). That’s not to say THB isn’t
worried: Iran, North Korea, India, Pakistan, hijacked cobalt in Mexico…plenty
to be worried about, just that the status quo appears to have been maintained. No
Nukes…No Nukes…No Nukes.
The Environment: for an idealist of the 60s and 70s, this has been a
disaster, and growing ever more disastrous. Global warming ain’t going to be
contained, the tipping point has passed (and THB is now a total, 100%
pessimist). Population has doubled in 50 years. Antibiotics in the food chain,
pesticides in the ground and water, SUVs (THB is beyond understanding how his
contemporaries ended up making mini-trucks the “car” to have), and, to top it
off, fracking.
One example: pesticide companies are suing to protect their
profits even though there is a substantial risk of their products killing off
bees and eliminating a key species in the food production chain. That’s in
Europe, where a ban is in place; the US has no such ban!
On other hand, air quality is better, asbestos and other cleanups
have happened, and nuclear energy plants were stopped from propagating (a big
win!). However, nuclear seems to be coming back (with all its huge costs and
dirty fuel) because it is considered cleaner than coal even though nobody knows
what to do with spent fuel rods (Yucca Mountain is not an answer unless you
think abandoning Las Vegas and most of Nevada is the right thing to do, oh and
teaching them how to read the signs in 10,000 years) and Fukushima and
Chernobyl will never be fully contained. The oceans are being depleted of fish
(THB thinks the following: humans will make anything disappear or pollute it if
nobody can visibly see the damage, except in China where they can’t see the
hand of the person next to them on bad air days). Or put another way: what has
happened to bats, bees, frogs, pine trees, and many other species (in record
numbers) that have gone or are going extinct? We’re squeezing them out.
The Optimistic View: There are billions of other planets out there
and we can’t get to any of them to inoculate with our problems. Long live the
Universe!
Artisan Bread: THB is ecstatic because there is so much good bread out
there and the ability to make excellent bread at home is here, now, even using
sea water.
Sneezing:
When THB was younger and living in LA, he traveled with a giant handkerchief
(aka, a diaper), since he was semi-allergic and conducive to long sneezing
fits. Now, people cough and sneeze into their elbows. THB would have had to
wear a long sleeve shirt all the time back in the day, and it was hot in LA!
Drugs: Hey, the mantra of the 70s was “let’s legalize drugs”.
Waddaya know, it seems like some legalization is here, especially with
marijuana dispensaries all over California (and other states). On the other
hand:
· The War on Drugs is unstoppable, and Homeland Security is here to make sure it is funded, big time
· Tons of people have gone to prison for possessing or selling
small amounts of recreational drugs
· Disproportionate emphasis of war on drugs falls on minorities (say, 10-1 comparing those in jail, vs that over half the users are white)
· Prison guards are now the most powerful union in California
· Mexico is a narcocountry (along with several others) and can’t get out of the cycle of US demand and violence involved in protecting supply routes
· Compassion for drug users is long gone, as is the sense of rehabilitation (for those that do get out of prison after long, long mandatory sentences). At least the Dutch and Canadians are trying alternatives like paying alcoholics in beer to clean city streets and parks.
· The War on Drugs is unstoppable, and Homeland Security is here to make sure it is funded, big time
· Tons of people have gone to prison for possessing or selling
small amounts of recreational drugs
· Disproportionate emphasis of war on drugs falls on minorities (say, 10-1 comparing those in jail, vs that over half the users are white)
· Prison guards are now the most powerful union in California
· Mexico is a narcocountry (along with several others) and can’t get out of the cycle of US demand and violence involved in protecting supply routes
· Compassion for drug users is long gone, as is the sense of rehabilitation (for those that do get out of prison after long, long mandatory sentences). At least the Dutch and Canadians are trying alternatives like paying alcoholics in beer to clean city streets and parks.
The Fall of The Wall: So, in 1989, the USSR went bankrupt, lost control of its sister
states (not all control: see Ukraine and EU membership), and the Cold War came
to an end: the biggest political event of the last 40 years. Billions of people
now live better lives (if measured by consumption), the risk of nuclear
annihilation lessened, Berlin became THB’s favorite city to visit, and even
Cuba attracts tourists. And, Russia is still run by thugs (well, one gigantic
thug, Putin), China is as well, and as are a number of ex-Communist countries.
Better?
Food: The growth of organic has been a pleasant belated surprise.
THB believes that to feed 7 billion (on its way to 10 billion) we need to have
large scale industrial farming that is non-polluting. That appears to be a
dream for the distant future though THB has volunteered that the Great Plains
states should be divided into farms (oops, soon may be too hot there for many
crops) and national parks and otherwise abandoned as political entities. Is GMO
safe? We won’t know until it is too late. Here’s a stat on crop planting in US:
92 million acres of corn of various varieties and 270,000 acres of kale,
cabbage and chard combined.
Religion vs Science: one definition of wisdom is to hold two competing ideas in your
head at the same time. In the years since 1973, intelligent design has been
compared to the theory of evolution like they are equals (in the NYT no less,
giving credence to those who don’t understand science), over and over again. We
have seen recent Republican candidates for president (including the college
educated nominee in 2012) profess that it is a myth that global warming is exacerbated
dramatically by human industry. And, of
course, the rise of fundamentalism throughout many countries, drawing followers
back into the dark ages.
THB thinks it should be Religion
AND Science: have faith and
understand how the universe works. Don’t confuse the two. Who knows: there are more atheists alive now than at any
other time in human history.
Peace in the Middle East: 40 years ago, there was strife in the ME and today, it is
about same-same as far as Israel and its neighbors. The Big News: The Arab
Spring has brought something new to the area, with social media helping to (or
in process of) overthrowing dictatorships. Not necessarily a better something,
it is way too early to tell. Of course,
there’s the mess in Syria. Oh, and lest we forget, the US has troops on
the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan, the worst foreign policy moves in THB’s
last 40 years. By far…thank YOU, George and Dick.
Growth of Technology: damn, these computers are everywhere (THB means it literally, they
are every few feet, usually in someone’s palm), and just about anyone under 40
(or is 50?) has a job making technology work in everyday lives.
Steve Jobs, the man
of the last 40 years? For sure, the last 10. At least a TV still looks like a TV….oops, no
it doesn’t. A radio is a radio…no, it isn’t. A book is a book…sorry, no. A camera…nope. Send a letter? What time is
it? Visit the bank? Make a payment? Read a newspaper? Watch your local news?
Use a dictionary or encyclopedia? A phone…all of the above!
The Women’s Movement: Depends on who you ask? Clearly, women are pretty much pursuing
just about any type of career and succeeding; going to college in greater
numbers than men; serving in the military, including in combat; close to
becoming president. It sure seems way better than 40 years ago. How can Lean In be a controversial
message…there appears to be confusion between the message and the messenger.
The message seems obvious (to both men and women). Start practicing that “tilt”
towards power.
Gay Rights: Off the charts, from deep in hiding to open in most parts of the
country and in most democracies around the world (still don’t think Putin is a
thug? Russia is legislating to ostracize gays).
We had gay friends in 1973. We lived in the Bay Area. We have gay
married friends in 2013. Another stat:
pairs with children least likely to get divorced: gay men.
Where we live: THB has always loved big cities, and particularly the Bay Area
(two baseball teams, diversity, emphasis on good food, pleasant weather, public
transportation, two baseball teams). Somehow the flight to the suburbs was
never quite understandable to THB, and the exurbs unfathomable. Clearly busing
accelerated this trend. Remember when private schools were for the malcontents
and public school was where all upper and middle class kids went?
And, it turns out the
big cities are more liberal politically and socially. And, from an
environmental standpoint, wayyyy better for holding down rampant use of cars.
Is it too late to collapse back into tighter neighborhoods and let the exurbs return
to parkland and farms? Not quite: the Great Recession has killed a lot of the
overexpansion, only temporarily in THB’s view. For the ultimate disaster: visit
Detroit.
Sports and TV: From zero to 60 in 40 years. Basically, for about $15/season, you
can listen to any baseball game via the internet, and for $125/season, you can
watch any game via the internet (with short delays for your home team games).
And, it’s pretty much the same via cable/satellite: you can watch any game in any
sport for not that much money. And, there are sports bars that specialize in specific
sports and/or teams, so you can drink with your fellow fans while watching any
event taking place anywhere on the globe. And, even talk-radio is now on TV, so
guys who never in a million years were thought to be photogenic (i.e., every
sports writer or radio personality) are now on TV non-stop, talking away, right
next to women doing the exact same thing in tight blouses.
Space Exploration: worthless. If only the money had been spent making the earth more
environmentally sustainable. Life on Mars? Give THB a break…or maybe, just
maybe, 500,000 years from now, it might be meaningful? Not a chance. Not for
humans (or dogs).
Medical Science: THB believes that palliative measures have been way more
important/impactful than the huge investments in medical research.
Which has extended
more lives: Getting people to stop smoking? Making everyone in cars wear seat
belts and helmets for motorcyclists? Trying to eliminate drunk driving?
Promoting how moderate eating and exercising makes you healthier? Providing
everyone with clean water? Eliminating
the spread of diseases in third world countries? Getting rid of guns? (oops, THAT didn't happen!)
Or, trying to find
cures for cancer? Having every hospital outfitted with the latest technology?
(Anyone notice that the only sector putting up buildings during the recession:
hospitals.) Finding a cure for AIDS helped dramatically (because safe sex and
clean needles weren’t going to stop the disease from spreading, though they are
effective measures). DNA and genetic advances have been dramatic and now THB
can see the day when your identity is based on DNA verification, which will
soon be instantaneously available.
THB knows someone out
there will disagree. Will someone also please provide the dollars spent just on
the administration of all these massive efforts that don’t seem to extend or
improve quality of life?
Affordable health care: See Medical Science above; the US has managed in 40 years to
become the worst case scenario: lower life expectancies and higher costs than
any other first world democracy. The single most likely reason the country will
go bankrupt unless some way is found to slow and reverse the cost growth (let
alone the poor performance for the price). If only we ate like they do in
Greece and Greece paid taxes and worked like they do in the US…utopia?
Integration: Another “depends on who you ask” category? Better than in 1973,
that’s for sure. A lot better? How tragic was busing (and the resulting flight
to the suburbs) for public education, urban redevelopment (or, in many cases,
teardowns without build ups), the concentration of minorities in specific
neighborhoods, and the inability to improve inner-city schools. THB believes in
affirmative action (it seems to work, as does Head Start), and yet it continues to be dismantled.
On the positive side, nobody (only a few? some?) in many communities blink when
an ethnically mixed couple shows up and for sure we have way more “hyphen” kids
than ever before. Discrimination (all types) is not gone; it seems to be on the
wane.
Abortion Rights: no common ground (how can there be when one side sees it as murder
and the other as a woman’s right to choose). Medical advancement at keeping the
premature infant alive is astounding, making the divide even larger. In the last
40 years, the Republican Party has moved from supporting choice to trying to
outlaw all abortions. Another wedge issue in the red and blue states? Side note: the Catholic Church members vote with their lower birth rates in US, regardless of church dogma.
On-line games: THB does not play video games, something that did not exist 40
years ago and is now bigger than the movie industry (true?). And, in total
symmetry, THB is back playing bridge, real time with real people, just like 40
years ago, this time without all the smoke in the room and a much quieter
atmosphere. Oh, and with a lot of old people (day-time mid-week tends to
attract a non-working crowd).
Where’s Waldo: 40 years ago, THB was married to DHB, did not have kids and lived
in an apartment (well, just barely, Trestle Glen was right around the corner). Today, THB lives in a large one-room apartment (a condo loft)
without kids, is married to DHB, and is pretty sure the kids are not coming
back. Same-same but very different in between the bookends.
Everybody has their moment of fame: 40 years ago THB didn’t want his picture taken. Today THB
not only has his picture taken, he takes (sometimes shaky, shaky) pictures and
posts them for everyone to see.
Deregulation: The world is in a constant state of change, migrating along a
continuum with centralization at one end and totally fragmented at the other.
Much of what goes on in the business world can be captured by describing which
way on the continuum there is movement. So, when Reagan brought on deregulation,
what did we get: GREED! Lo and behold, the most stable form of capitalism is
controlled capitalism. What you avoid: boom and bust, boom and bust. Humans
gravitate towards maximizing personal gain. Hmmmm….where did THB find that
nugget hiding? The last glorious example: when the financial sector grew from
10% of economy to 20% we got the Great Recession. Thank YOU, Mr. Greenspan.
Patriotism: Another evil the boomers were gonna take care of, by diminishing
the emphasis on how much more important my turf is than your turf. After 9/11,
you really did have to stand for the national anthem, go to the restroom during
the seventh inning stretch to avoid God Bless America, and stand in line at
airports. Good news: you can bring those 2.36” and shorter blades onto
airplanes again, same as you could in 1973, and keep those electronic devices
on during landings and takeoffs. Oh, wait: no blades, and some airlines for
some e-devices.
Decision making: THB likes things that can be studied, analyzed and recommended
based on facts (baseball, anyone?), and with the emotion taken out of the
equation. THB does not think that has become a prevailing view in the last 40
years, based on our political process, though it could be said that the rise of
science impacting humanity has been the major _____ (fill in the blank) of the
last 200 years.